Jake Guentzel scores twice in Lightning win over Islanders

Fantasy hockey: Guentzel's two-goal night against New York fits the profile of a top-six scorer averaging over a point per game.

By Fantasy Roundup Staff · October 11, 2026

Jake Guentzel scored twice on four shots in 19:29 of ice time as the Lightning beat the Islanders 5-3 on Saturday, October 10. One of his goals came on the power play, and he finished plus-one with a hit.

The line matches his recent averages: 1.07 points per game, 2.9 shots per game and 20:20 a night. His underlying play grades 81 out of 100 among forwards, a read on how sustainable his scoring is, and he runs second on Tampa Bay in power-play time at 3:55 per game on the first unit.

Fantasy impact

Player by player

Jake Guentzel

Guentzel's two-goal performance came on typical volume and usage for him. Four shots in 19:29 aligns with his 2.9 shots per game and 20:20 average, and his power-play goal reflects his role on the first unit, where he averages 3:55 per game. He ranks second among all Lightning skaters in power-play ice time and has averaged 0.37 power-play points per game across 208 games in the model sample.

His underlying play grades 81 out of 100 among forwards in shots, scoring chances and ice time, which suggests his 1.07 points per game (0.49 goals, 0.58 assists) should hold. Tampa Bay has three games left this week, on Saturday, Tuesday and Thursday. Guentzel remains a hold in all formats as a high-volume scorer with first-unit power-play minutes.

What to do

• Keep Jake Guentzel active in all formats, with three games remaining this week for Tampa Bay.

• Expect similar shot totals and power-play exposure moving forward given his consistent ice time.

• Trust the 81-out-of-100 process grade as a sign his scoring rate should hold up.

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