Tom Wilson posts three points in Capitals win over Penguins
Fantasy hockey: Wilson had one goal and two assists Wednesday, but the line came on two shots and normal ice time. Four games left this week.
By Fantasy Roundup Staff · October 8, 2026
Tom Wilson recorded one goal and two assists on two shots in 19:49 against the Penguins on Wednesday, October 7. The Capitals won 5-3. He finished plus-three with two hits and two blocks.
The three points look strong, but they came on fewer shots and similar ice time to his recent averages (2.2 shots, 19:34 a night). His underlying play grades 55 out of 100 among forwards, a read on how sustainable his scoring is. Four games left this week (Wed, Fri, Sun, Tue).
Fantasy impact
Player by player
Tom Wilson
Wilson averages 0.36 goals and 0.40 assists per game in the model sample, 0.76 points a night overall. The three-point output Wednesday stands well above those marks, but it came on just two shots instead of his usual 2.2 a game. He plays 19:34 a night and logs 2:45 on the power play per game, fourth among all Capitals skaters on that unit.
His underlying process ranks 55 out of 100 among forwards based on shots, scoring chances and ice time, suggesting moderate scoring sustainability. He sits on the first power-play unit and averages 0.16 power-play points per game. The Capitals have four games left this week (Wed, Fri, Sun, Tue) and three next week.
What to do
• Keep Wilson rostered as a hold given his normal shot and minute totals despite the big night.
• Do not chase the three-point line without the underlying shot volume or ice time to support it.
• Use his four remaining games this week for steady category contributions in hits and blocks alongside scoring.
Schedule this week
Quick answers
What does this mean for Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
One big night: 1 goal, 2 assists, 2 shots in 19:49. His value holds. The points came without more shots or minutes than usual; treat it as one game.
Should I start Tom Wilson this week?
Yes. Washington plays 4 games this week, and he has averaged 0.76 points per game.
Players in this story
- Tom Wilson (RW, WSH) · fantasy outlook: hold
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