Efton Chism III's target share climbs from 8% to 26% for the Patriots

Fantasy football: Chism led New England in targets with A.J. Brown and Mack Hollins out, but modest volume limits his upside to deeper leagues while the…

By Fantasy Roundup Staff · November 2, 2026 · Updated November 2, 2026

Efton Chism III caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and 4.2 half-PPR points in the Patriots' Week 8 game against Miami. His target share jumped from 8% in his earlier games to 26% in Week 8, an increase driven by the absences of A.J. Brown and Mack Hollins. He led the Patriots in both targets and receptions.

The opportunity spike matters for managers in deeper leagues, but the modest volume, a difficult matchup against Miami (19.2 half-PPR points a game to receivers, the 3rd fewest of 32), and his 2.1 half-PPR points a game over his last three games keep his floor low. His role is worth monitoring if Brown and Hollins remain sidelined, though DeMario Douglas saw 3 targets in the same game and could limit Chism's ceiling even with the injuries.

Fantasy impact

Player by player

Efton Chism III

Chism's target share climbed to 26% in Week 8 with Brown and Hollins out, up from 8% in his earlier games. He has averaged 63% of snaps and 11% of targets over his last three games, producing 2.1 half-PPR points a game in that span. Our models show he is scoring 1.4 half-PPR points a game below what his usage predicts over his last three games, so his role is worth more than his recent points. Over his last three games, he had a 6% air yards share (137th of 181 receivers) and a weighted opportunity rating of 0.21 (111th of 181 receivers).

Chism is not rostered in a neutral 12-team league, and the shared work with Douglas, who had 3 targets in Week 8, keeps his role from being secure even with the injuries. Our models project 3.0 half-PPR points a game he plays, ranking him WR120. Monitor his role if Brown remains out, but the modest volume and difficult upcoming matchups limit his appeal to 14-team leagues or deeper formats where emergency options are needed.

What to do

• Monitor Efton Chism III's role in 14-team leagues if A.J. Brown remains sidelined, but expect modest volume with DeMario Douglas also involved.

• Do not add Chism in 12-team leagues where his projected 3.0 half-PPR points a game and inconsistent opportunity leave better options available.

• Watch for updates on Brown and Mack Hollins before Week 9, as their returns would drop Chism back to a 63% snap share and 11% target share.