Ted Hurst III's target share jumps to 33% with Egbuka, Otton out

Fantasy football: Hurst drew just one target in his larger role and has blanked in two of three games, making him too risky for lineups despite the increased…

By Fantasy Roundup Staff · November 2, 2026 · Updated November 2, 2026

Ted Hurst III saw his target share jump from 13% over his earlier games to 33% in Week 8 against Atlanta with Emeka Egbuka and Cade Otton out. Despite the increased opportunity, Hurst failed to catch his lone target and finished with 0.0 half-PPR points.

Over his last three games, Hurst has averaged 2.7 targets and 1.8 half-PPR points whilst playing 53% of snaps. He posted 5.5 half-PPR points in Week 6, then 0.0 in Week 7 and 0.0 in Week 8. Our models project 4.0 half-PPR points a game, but he is scoring 3.3 half-PPR points below what his usage predicts over his last three games, suggesting he is not making the most of his opportunities.

Fantasy impact

Player by player

Ted Hurst III

Hurst's target share increased with teammates missing Week 8, but he managed just one target despite playing a significant role. Over his last three games he has averaged 2.7 targets and 1.0 reception per game whilst seeing a 19% target share, down from his 16% season average. His 37% air yards share ranks 20th of 181 receivers, and his weighted opportunity rating ranks 28th of 181 receivers, suggesting the Buccaneers are directing work his way downfield.

Hurst has posted 0.0 half-PPR points in two of his last three games, with his only productive outing a 3-catch, 40-yard performance in Week 6. He is scoring 1.8 half-PPR points below expectation for the season, meaning his role is worth more than his output. With Egbuka's status unclear and the Buccaneers facing Chicago in Week 9, Hurst could see opportunity, but his recent performances make him a risky flex option even in deeper formats.

What to do

• Leave Ted Hurst III on waivers in standard 12-team leagues, as his boom-bust production offers only emergency flex value.

• Monitor Emeka Egbuka's status ahead of Week 9, as Hurst's target share could remain elevated if teammates miss time.

• Consider Hurst only in very deep leagues where his air yards share and target opportunity could eventually translate to consistent production.