Jason Robertson shots on goal prop 3.5 vs FLA
Jason Robertson, LW for DAL, next plays vs FLA on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.0 shots, give or take 1.9; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 19.5 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 9th fewest shots on goal
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:12 a game on the power play
- Faces Akira Schmid (expected starter), who projects close to expected
- His club projects for 26 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the under 61%, the books' 60%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 3.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 3.3
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 3.1
- This season: over in 7 of 19, average 3.3
Defence vs position
FLA vs LW: neutral, 4.6 shots allowed a game, 21 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 3.6 in 5 games
- Home: over 33%, average 3 in 12 games
- Away: over 43%, average 3.7 in 7 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 3 in 12 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 3.5 in 16 games
- vs FLA: over 50%, average 2 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | vs BUF | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-12 | vs WPG | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs SJ | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at CBJ | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at WSH | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CBJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs MTL | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs NJ | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs NYI | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs WPG | 4 | over |
More Jason Robertson props
Jason Robertson player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jason Robertson's shots on goal line vs FLA?
The books' line is 3.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 3.0 and give the over 35%.
How often has Jason Robertson gone over 3.5 shots?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 19 this season, averaging 3.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jason Robertson shots on goal?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 40% for the over.
Is FLA a good matchup for Jason Robertson?
Neutral: FLA allow 4.6 shots a game to LW, 21 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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