Joel Farabee shots on goal prop 2.5 at ANA
Joel Farabee, LW for CGY, next plays at ANA on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.4 shots, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 43%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 19.2 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent is close to the league average in shots allowed
- On the first power-play unit, about 2:30 a game on the power play
- Faces Laurent Brossoit (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
Lean over at 2.5: our chance of the over 45%, the books' 42%. Recent form leans over.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 5 of 5, average 4
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 3
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 2.7
- This season: over in 11 of 20, average 2.7
Defence vs position
ANA vs LW: tough, 4.1 shots allowed a game, 25 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 83%, average 3.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 46%, average 2.8 in 11 games
- Away: over 67%, average 2.6 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 2.6 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 3.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 53%, average 2.7 in 17 games
- vs ANA: over 29%, average 2.4 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at LA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NYR | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs ANA | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SEA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at SJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at COL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs SEA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at EDM | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs TOR | 2 | under |
More Joel Farabee props
Joel Farabee player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Joel Farabee's shots on goal line at ANA?
The books' line is 2.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 2.4 and give the over 43%.
How often has Joel Farabee gone over 2.5 shots?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 11 of 20 this season, averaging 3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Joel Farabee shots on goal?
Lean, over 2.5: our chance 45% against the books' 42%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ANA a good matchup for Joel Farabee?
Tough: ANA allow 4.1 shots a game to LW, 25 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.