Jonathan Lekkerimäki points prop 0.5 at VGK
Jonathan Lekkerimäki, RW for VAN, next plays at VGK on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.4 points, give or take 0.7; our chance of the over 34%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 15.7 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the third line
- Opponent allows the 5th fewest expected goals
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 2:31 a game on the power play
- Faces Carter Hart (expected starter), who projects close to expected
- His club projects for 24 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the under 61%, the books' 61%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 0.4
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 0.8
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 0.7
- This season: over in 12 of 21, average 0.7
Defence vs position
VGK vs RW: tough, 1.3 points allowed a game, 24 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 0.4 in 5 games
- Home: over 60%, average 0.7 in 10 games
- Away: over 55%, average 0.7 in 11 games
- Away (next game): over 55%, average 0.7 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 1 in 2 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 0.7 in 18 games
- vs VGK: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs PHI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at EDM | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at WPG | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | vs ANA | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs TOR | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | at SJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at ANA | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DET | 2 | over |
More Jonathan Lekkerimäki props
Jonathan Lekkerimäki player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jonathan Lekkerimäki's points line at VGK?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 3 books. We project 0.4 and give the over 34%.
How often has Jonathan Lekkerimäki gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 12 of 21 this season, averaging 0.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jonathan Lekkerimäki points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 39% for the over.
Is VGK a good matchup for Jonathan Lekkerimäki?
Tough: VGK allow 1.3 points a game to RW, 24 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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