Leon Draisaitl shots on goal prop 3.5 at PHI
Leon Draisaitl, C for EDM, next plays at PHI on Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.4 shots, give or take 2; our chance of the over 43%; our own line 3.5.
- Projected for 21.7 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 11th fewest shots on goal
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:33 a game on the power play
- Faces Dan Vladar (expected starter), who projects close to expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 5 of 5, average 5
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 3.9
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 3.9
- This season: over in 12 of 21, average 3.9
Defence vs position
PHI vs C: neutral, 9.1 shots allowed a game, 20 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 86%, average 4.6 in 7 games
- Home: over 75%, average 4.6 in 12 games
- Away: over 33%, average 3 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 3 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 3 in 1 game
- Rested: over 58%, average 3.9 in 19 games
- vs PHI: over 33%, average 1.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at TOR | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PHI | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYR | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs VAN | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | vs ANA | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at NJ | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at NYR | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NYI | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs CGY | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DET | 3 | under |
More Leon Draisaitl props
Leon Draisaitl player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Leon Draisaitl's shots on goal line at PHI?
The books' line is 3.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 3.4 and give the over 43%.
How often has Leon Draisaitl gone over 3.5 shots?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 12 of 21 this season, averaging 3.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Leon Draisaitl shots on goal?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is PHI a good matchup for Leon Draisaitl?
Neutral: PHI allow 9.1 shots a game to C, 20 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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