Matt Coronato assists prop 0.5 at ANA
Matt Coronato, RW for CGY, next plays at ANA on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.4 assists, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 32%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 17.6 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 7th most expected goals
- Creates 0.8 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 2:30 a game on the power play
- Faces Laurent Brossoit (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
Our lean
Strong lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 64%, the books' 58%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 0
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 0.5
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 0.6
- This season: over in 6 of 20, average 0.6
Defence vs position
ANA vs RW: tough, 0.7 assists allowed a game, 25 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 0 in 6 games
- Home: over 55%, average 1 in 11 games
- Away: over 0%, average 0 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 0%, average 0 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
- Rested: over 35%, average 0.7 in 17 games
- vs ANA: over 57%, average 0.7 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at LA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs ANA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SEA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at COL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs SEA | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at EDM | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs TOR | 2 | over |
More Matt Coronato props
Matt Coronato player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Matt Coronato's assists line at ANA?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 0.4 and give the over 32%.
How often has Matt Coronato gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 20 this season, averaging 0.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Matt Coronato assists?
Strong lean, under 0.5: our chance 64% against the books' 58%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ANA a good matchup for Matt Coronato?
Tough: ANA allow 0.7 assists a game to RW, 25 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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