Mattias Ekholm points prop 0.5 at PHI
Mattias Ekholm, D for EDM, next plays at PHI on Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.4 points, give or take 0.7; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 20.9 minutes of ice time
- Second defence pair
- Opponent allows the 10th most expected goals
- Takes more dangerous shots than most at his position
- On the second power-play unit, about 0:26 a game on the power play
- Faces Dan Vladar (expected starter), who projects close to expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
Strong lean over at 0.5: our chance of the over 39%, the books' 34%. Recent form leans over.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 0.7
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 0.5
- This season: over in 10 of 19, average 0.5
Defence vs position
PHI vs D: favourable, 2.5 points allowed a game, 6 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 71%, average 0.7 in 7 games
- Home: over 50%, average 0.5 in 10 games
- Away: over 56%, average 0.6 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 56%, average 0.6 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
- Rested: over 59%, average 0.6 in 17 games
- vs PHI: over 67%, average 0.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at TOR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PHI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYR | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs VAN | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | vs ANA | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at NJ | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs CGY | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
More Mattias Ekholm props
Mattias Ekholm player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Mattias Ekholm's points line at PHI?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 3 books. We project 0.4 and give the over 35%.
How often has Mattias Ekholm gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 10 of 19 this season, averaging 0.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Mattias Ekholm points?
Strong lean, over 0.5: our chance 39% against the books' 34%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is PHI a good matchup for Mattias Ekholm?
Favourable: PHI allow 2.5 points a game to D, 6 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.