Matvei Gridin assists prop 0.5 at ANA

Our projection

Our projection: 0.3 assists, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 29%; our own line 0.5.

• Projected for 16.5 minutes of ice time
• Plays on the second line
• Opponent allows the 7th most expected goals
• Creates 0.9 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
• Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
• On the first power-play unit, about 2:30 a game on the power play
• Faces Laurent Brossoit (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected

Our lean

Lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 67%, the books' 64%. Model and recent form both lean under.

Defence vs position

ANA vs RW: tough, 0.7 assists allowed a game, 25 of 32.

Splits

• November: over 17%, average 0.2 in 6 games
• Home: over 36%, average 0.4 in 11 games
• Away: over 22%, average 0.2 in 9 games
• Away (next game): over 22%, average 0.2 in 9 games
• Back-to-back: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
• Rested: over 29%, average 0.3 in 17 games
• vs ANA: over 29%, average 0.3 in 7 games

Game log