Matvei Michkov points prop 0.5 vs EDM
Matvei Michkov, RW for PHI, next plays vs EDM on Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.7 points, give or take 0.8; our chance of the over 47%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 16.3 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the third line
- Opponent allows the 7th fewest expected goals
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:05 a game on the power play
- Faces Devon Levi (confirmed starter), who projects close to expected
- His club projects for 25 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 0.6
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 0.8
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 0.8
- This season: over in 13 of 22, average 0.7
Defence vs position
EDM vs RW: neutral, 1.8 points allowed a game, 16 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 71%, average 0.7 in 7 games
- Home: over 60%, average 0.9 in 10 games
- Away: over 58%, average 0.6 in 12 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 0.9 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 0.5 in 4 games
- Rested: over 65%, average 0.8 in 17 games
- vs EDM: over 100%, average 1 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at CBJ | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | at EDM | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | at VAN | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at CGY | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | vs MIN | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs UTA | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at WSH | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs CBJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs ANA | 2 | over |
More Matvei Michkov props
Matvei Michkov player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Matvei Michkov's points line vs EDM?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 4 books. We project 0.7 and give the over 47%.
How often has Matvei Michkov gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 13 of 22 this season, averaging 0.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Matvei Michkov points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 50% for the over.
Is EDM a good matchup for Matvei Michkov?
Neutral: EDM allow 1.8 points a game to RW, 16 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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