Mikael Backlund shots on goal prop 1.5 at ANA
Mikael Backlund, C for CGY, next plays at ANA on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.4 shots, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 68%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 18.6 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent is close to the league average in shots allowed
- Faces Laurent Brossoit (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
- Opponent is on the second night of a back-to-back
Our lean
Lean over at 1.5: our chance of the over 62%, the books' 60%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 2.3
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 2.5
- This season: over in 11 of 18, average 2.6
Defence vs position
ANA vs C: neutral, 9.4 shots allowed a game, 14 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 2.3 in 6 games
- Home: over 44%, average 2.3 in 9 games
- Away: over 78%, average 2.9 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 78%, average 2.9 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 60%, average 2.4 in 15 games
- vs ANA: over 86%, average 2.3 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at LA | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NYR | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs ANA | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SEA | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SJ | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at COL | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs SEA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at EDM | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs TOR | 1 | under |
More Mikael Backlund props
Mikael Backlund player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Mikael Backlund's shots on goal line at ANA?
The books' line is 1.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 2.4 and give the over 68%.
How often has Mikael Backlund gone over 1.5 shots?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 11 of 18 this season, averaging 2.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Mikael Backlund shots on goal?
Lean, over 1.5: our chance 62% against the books' 60%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ANA a good matchup for Mikael Backlund?
Neutral: ANA allow 9.4 shots a game to C, 14 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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