Morgan Frost points prop 0.5 at ANA
Morgan Frost, C for CGY, next plays at ANA on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.5 points, give or take 0.7; our chance of the over 39%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 15.5 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the third line
- Opponent allows the 7th most expected goals
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 2:30 a game on the power play
- Faces Laurent Brossoit (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
Strong lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 0.6
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 0.7
- This season: over in 10 of 20, average 0.7
Defence vs position
ANA vs C: favourable, 3.8 points allowed a game, 3 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 0.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 55%, average 0.8 in 11 games
- Away: over 44%, average 0.4 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 44%, average 0.4 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 53%, average 0.7 in 17 games
- vs ANA: over 57%, average 0.9 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at LA | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs ANA | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SEA | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at SJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at COL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs SEA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at EDM | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs TOR | 0 | under |
More Morgan Frost props
Morgan Frost player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Morgan Frost's points line at ANA?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 4 books. We project 0.5 and give the over 39%.
How often has Morgan Frost gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 10 of 20 this season, averaging 0.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Morgan Frost points?
Strong lean, under 0.5: our chance 54% against the books' 49%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ANA a good matchup for Morgan Frost?
Favourable: ANA allow 3.8 points a game to C, 3 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.