Nils Hoglander points prop 0.5 at LA
Nils Hoglander, LW for NSH, next plays at LA on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.3 points, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 26%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 10.7 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent is close to the league average in expected goals allowed
- Skates with linemates who create more chances than his usual ones
- On the second power-play unit, about 0:30 a game on the power play
- Faces Anton Forsberg (confirmed starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
Lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 72%, the books' 70%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 0
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 0.2
- Last 20: over in 5 of 20, average 0.3
- This season: over in 4 of 17, average 0.3
Defence vs position
LA vs LW: neutral, 1.4 points allowed a game, 17 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 0 in 3 games
- Home: over 18%, average 0.2 in 11 games
- Away: over 33%, average 0.5 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 0.5 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
- Rested: over 27%, average 0.3 in 15 games
- vs LA: over 33%, average 0.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs STL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at COL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs WSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs COL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PIT | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-17 | vs STL | 0 | under |
More Nils Hoglander props
Nils Hoglander player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nils Hoglander's points line at LA?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 3 books. We project 0.3 and give the over 26%.
How often has Nils Hoglander gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 17 this season, averaging 0.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nils Hoglander points?
Lean, under 0.5: our chance 72% against the books' 70%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is LA a good matchup for Nils Hoglander?
Neutral: LA allow 1.4 points a game to LW, 17 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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