Ryan O'Reilly shots on goal prop 1.5 at LA
Ryan O'Reilly, C for NSH, next plays at LA on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 shots. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.1 shots, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 62%; our own line 1.5.
- Projected for 21 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent is close to the league average in shots allowed
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:27 a game on the power play
- Faces Anton Forsberg (confirmed starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
- Shooting less than usual over the last two weeks
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the over 56%, the books' 56%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 0.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 1.6
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 1.8
- This season: over in 8 of 17, average 1.8
Defence vs position
LA vs C: favourable, 11.7 shots allowed a game, 1 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 1 in 3 games
- Home: over 46%, average 2 in 11 games
- Away: over 50%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 5 in 1 game
- Rested: over 40%, average 1.4 in 15 games
- vs LA: over 67%, average 3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs STL | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at COL | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs TB | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs WSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs NYI | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs COL | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PIT | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-17 | vs STL | 4 | over |
More Ryan O'Reilly props
Ryan O'Reilly player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ryan O'Reilly's shots on goal line at LA?
The books' line is 1.5 shots, from 5 books. We project 2.1 and give the over 62%.
How often has Ryan O'Reilly gone over 1.5 shots?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 8 of 17 this season, averaging 1.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ryan O'Reilly shots on goal?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 56% for the over.
Is LA a good matchup for Ryan O'Reilly?
Favourable: LA allow 11.7 shots a game to C, 1 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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