Sam Reinhart assists prop 0.5 at DAL

Our projection

Our projection: 0.4 assists, give or take 0.7; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 0.5.

• Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
• Plays on the second line
• Opponent allows the 6th fewest expected goals
• Creates 1 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
• Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
• On the first power-play unit, about 4:39 a game on the power play
• Faces Casey DeSmith (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected

Our lean

No lean at 0.5: our chance of the over 37%, the books' 36%. Recent form leans over.

Defence vs position

DAL vs C: tough, 1.6 assists allowed a game, 22 of 32.

Splits

• November: over 43%, average 0.6 in 7 games
• Home: over 57%, average 0.7 in 7 games
• Away: over 29%, average 0.3 in 14 games
• Away (next game): over 29%, average 0.3 in 14 games
• Back-to-back: over 33%, average 0.3 in 3 games
• Rested: over 41%, average 0.5 in 17 games
• vs DAL: over 50%, average 1 in 2 games

Game log