Steven Stamkos points prop 0.5 at LA
Steven Stamkos, C for NSH, next plays at LA on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.8 points, give or take 0.9; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 18.5 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent is close to the league average in expected goals allowed
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- Takes more dangerous shots than most at his position
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:43 a game on the power play
- Faces Anton Forsberg (confirmed starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the under 40%, the books' 39%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 1.1
- Last 20: over in 15 of 20, average 1.2
- This season: over in 13 of 17, average 1.1
Defence vs position
LA vs C: favourable, 4 points allowed a game, 1 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 1 in 3 games
- Home: over 73%, average 1.1 in 11 games
- Away: over 83%, average 1.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 83%, average 1.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 3 in 1 game
- Rested: over 73%, average 1 in 15 games
- vs LA: over 67%, average 0.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs STL | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at COL | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs TB | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs WSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs COL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PIT | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-17 | vs STL | 2 | over |
More Steven Stamkos props
Steven Stamkos player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Steven Stamkos's points line at LA?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 5 books. We project 0.8 and give the over 54%.
How often has Steven Stamkos gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 13 of 17 this season, averaging 1.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Steven Stamkos points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 62% for the over.
Is LA a good matchup for Steven Stamkos?
Favourable: LA allow 4 points a game to C, 1 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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