Will Smith shots on goal prop 2.5 vs NSH
Will Smith, C for SJ, next plays vs NSH on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 shots. 2 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.6 shots, give or take 1.7; our chance of the over 48%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 20.1 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 4th most shots on goal
- On the second power-play unit, about 3:57 a game on the power play
- Faces Justus Annunen (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 29 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
Lean over at 2.5: our chance of the over 45%, the books' 43%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 2.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 2.1
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 2.5
- This season: over in 12 of 22, average 2.5
Defence vs position
NSH vs C: neutral, 9.4 shots allowed a game, 15 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 43%, average 1.9 in 7 games
- Home: over 60%, average 2.6 in 10 games
- Away: over 50%, average 2.3 in 12 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 2.6 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 53%, average 2.5 in 19 games
- vs NSH: over 75%, average 4 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at UTA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PIT | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYI | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at DAL | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MIN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at LA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs CGY | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OTT | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs VAN | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs BUF | 2 | under |
More Will Smith props
Will Smith player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Will Smith's shots on goal line vs NSH?
The books' line is 2.5 shots, from 2 books. We project 2.6 and give the over 48%.
How often has Will Smith gone over 2.5 shots?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 12 of 22 this season, averaging 2.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Will Smith shots on goal?
Lean, over 2.5: our chance 45% against the books' 43%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is NSH a good matchup for Will Smith?
Neutral: NSH allow 9.4 shots a game to C, 15 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.