Al Horford points prop 4.5 at HOU
Al Horford, C for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.2 points, give or take 4.2; our chance of the over 62%; our own line 5.5.
- 17.6 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 17.6 minutes (season 15.9, tonight 19.2)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
Our lean
Lean over at 4.5: our chance of the over 54%, the books' 52%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 5.4
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 5
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 8.0
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 5
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 106.4 points allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 6 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 5 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 5 in 3 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 5 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 5.6 in 8 games
- vs HOU: over 100%, average 17 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | vs MIA | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs LAC | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIN | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at LAC | 5 | over |
More Al Horford props
- Al Horford rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Al Horford assists (our line 1.5)
- Al Horford threes made (our line 0.5)
- Al Horford pts + reb + ast (our line 11.5)
- Al Horford pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Al Horford pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Al Horford reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Al Horford steals (our line 0.5)
- Al Horford blocks (our line 0.5)
- Al Horford turnovers (our line 0.5)
Al Horford player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Al Horford's points line at HOU?
The books' line is 4.5 points, from 5 books. We project 6.2 and give the over 62%.
How often has Al Horford gone over 4.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Al Horford points?
Lean, over 4.5: our chance 54% against the books' 52%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is HOU a good matchup for Al Horford?
Tough: HOU allow 106.4 points a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.