Anthony Davis points prop 22.5 at IND
Anthony Davis, F for WAS, next plays at IND on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 22.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 22.0 points, give or take 7.4; our chance of the over 43%; our own line 21.5.
- 30.7 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Bilal Coulibaly's status
- IND scorekeeper: assists -2%
Our lean
No lean at 22.5: our chance of the under 50%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 22.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 28
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 25.2
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 23.6
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 25.7
Defence vs position
IND vs all players: neutral, 115.2 points allowed a game, 11 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 100%, average 32.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 75%, average 23.5 in 4 games
- Away: over 60%, average 27.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 27.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 19 in 1 game
- Rested: over 71%, average 25.4 in 7 games
- vs IND: over 0%, average 4 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DET | 44 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs ATL | 26 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at ORL | 27 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs CHA | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at CLE | 18 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at CHA | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CHI | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs TOR | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs MIL | 34 | over |
| 2026-01-08 | at UTA | 21 | under |
More Anthony Davis props
- Anthony Davis rebounds (our line 9.5)
- Anthony Davis assists (our line 1.5)
- Anthony Davis threes made (our line 0.5)
- Anthony Davis pts + reb + ast (our line 33.5)
- Anthony Davis pts + reb (our line 30.5)
- Anthony Davis pts + ast (our line 23.5)
- Anthony Davis reb + ast (our line 11.5)
- Anthony Davis steals (our line 0.5)
- Anthony Davis blocks (our line 1.5)
- Anthony Davis turnovers (our line 1.5)
Anthony Davis player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Anthony Davis's points line at IND?
The books' line is 22.5 points, from 5 books. We project 22.0 and give the over 43%.
How often has Anthony Davis gone over 22.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 25.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Anthony Davis points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is IND a good matchup for Anthony Davis?
Neutral: IND allow 115.2 points a game to all players, 11 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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