Bennett Stirtz points prop 6.5 at POR
Bennett Stirtz, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 8.6 points, give or take 5.6; our chance of the over 60%; our own line 7.5.
- 20.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 20.7 minutes (season 19.1, tonight 22.4)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Strong lean over at 6.5: our chance of the over 54%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 5 of 5, average 11.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 7.6
- Last 20: over in 7 of 10, average 7.6
- This season: over in 7 of 10, average 7.6
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 113.8 points allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 100%, average 12 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 7.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 80%, average 8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 80%, average 8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 9 in 2 games
- Rested: over 71%, average 8.3 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 0 | under |
More Bennett Stirtz props
- Bennett Stirtz rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Bennett Stirtz assists (our line 1.5)
- Bennett Stirtz threes made (our line 1.5)
- Bennett Stirtz pts + reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Bennett Stirtz pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Bennett Stirtz pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Bennett Stirtz reb + ast (our line 2.5)
- Bennett Stirtz steals (our line 0.5)
- Bennett Stirtz blocks (our line 0.5)
- Bennett Stirtz turnovers (our line 0.5)
Bennett Stirtz player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Bennett Stirtz's points line at POR?
The books' line is 6.5 points, from 5 books. We project 8.6 and give the over 60%.
How often has Bennett Stirtz gone over 6.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 10 this season, averaging 7.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Bennett Stirtz points?
Strong lean, over 6.5: our chance 54% against the books' 49%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Bennett Stirtz?
Neutral: POR allow 113.8 points a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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