Bogdan Bogdanović points prop 6.5 at WAS
Bogdan Bogdanović, G for HOU, next plays at WAS on Sun, Nov 15, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5.8 points, give or take 4.3; our chance of the over 39%; our own line 5.5.
- 15 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 15.0 minutes (season 11.2, tonight 18.8)
- team scoring +2% per possession
- usage up: Fred VanVleet out (shots +1%, assists +3%)
- WAS scorekeeper: assists +2%
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Strong lean under at 6.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 3.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 5
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 5.5
- This season: over in 4 of 12, average 5.5
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: neutral, 115.8 points allowed a game, 12 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 3.2 in 6 games
- Home: over 25%, average 4.1 in 8 games
- Away: over 50%, average 8.3 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 8.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 7.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 33%, average 5.1 in 9 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs UTA | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs GSW | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 5 | under |
More Bogdan Bogdanović props
- Bogdan Bogdanović rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović assists (our line 1.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović threes made (our line 0.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović pts + reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović pts + reb (our line 7.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović steals (our line 0.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović blocks (our line 0.5)
- Bogdan Bogdanović turnovers (our line 0.5)
Bogdan Bogdanović player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Bogdan Bogdanović's points line at WAS?
The books' line is 6.5 points, from 3 books. We project 5.8 and give the over 39%.
How often has Bogdan Bogdanović gone over 6.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 12 this season, averaging 5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Bogdan Bogdanović points?
Strong lean, under 6.5: our chance 55% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is WAS a good matchup for Bogdan Bogdanović?
Neutral: WAS allow 115.8 points a game to all players, 12 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.