Brandon Miller points prop 20.5 at LAC
Brandon Miller, F for CHA, next plays at LAC on Sun, Nov 15, 4:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 20.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 19.9 points, give or take 8.2; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 19.5.
- 29.1 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- team scoring +2% per possession
- usage up: Dennis Schröder, Kon Knueppel out (shots +0%, assists +5%)
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 20.5: our chance of the under 52%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 20.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 15.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 20.6
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 20.1
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 20.6
Defence vs position
LAC vs all players: favourable, 117.5 points allowed a game, 7 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 11.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 50%, average 21.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 25%, average 19.5 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 19.5 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 29 in 2 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 18.6 in 7 games
- vs LAC: over 0%, average 13 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | vs BOS | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at BKN | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs DET | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs PHI | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at WAS | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DET | 31 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs WAS | 39 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | vs MIA | 34 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs ATL | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at BKN | 18 | under |
More Brandon Miller props
- Brandon Miller rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Brandon Miller assists (our line 2.5)
- Brandon Miller threes made (our line 2.5)
- Brandon Miller pts + reb + ast (our line 27.5)
- Brandon Miller pts + reb (our line 24.5)
- Brandon Miller pts + ast (our line 22.5)
- Brandon Miller reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Brandon Miller steals (our line 0.5)
- Brandon Miller blocks (our line 0.5)
- Brandon Miller turnovers (our line 2.5)
Brandon Miller player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Brandon Miller's points line at LAC?
The books' line is 20.5 points, from 5 books. We project 19.9 and give the over 45%.
How often has Brandon Miller gone over 20.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 20.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Brandon Miller points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is LAC a good matchup for Brandon Miller?
Favourable: LAC allow 117.5 points a game to all players, 7 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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