Brook Lopez points prop 12.5 at PHX
Brook Lopez, C for LAC, next plays at PHX on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 12.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 8.9 points, give or take 5.2; our chance of the over 23%; our own line 8.5.
- 20.7 minutes projected, starting
- PHX scorekeeper: assists -3%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean under at 12.5: our chance of the under 56%, the books' 54%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 12.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 14.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 13.5
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 13.6
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 14.2
Defence vs position
PHX vs all players: favourable, 119 points allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 14.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 14.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 75%, average 14.3 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 75%, average 14.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 12 in 1 game
- Rested: over 71%, average 14.1 in 7 games
- vs PHX: over 0%, average 8 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs NOP | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIA | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs TOR | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | at GSW | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at MIN | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at OKC | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at LAL | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs SAC | 17 | over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs GSW | 7 | under |
More Brook Lopez props
- Brook Lopez rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Brook Lopez assists (our line 0.5)
- Brook Lopez threes made (our line 0.5)
- Brook Lopez pts + reb + ast (our line 13.5)
- Brook Lopez pts + reb (our line 12.5)
- Brook Lopez pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Brook Lopez reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Brook Lopez steals (our line 0.5)
- Brook Lopez blocks (our line 0.5)
- Brook Lopez turnovers (our line 0.5)
Brook Lopez player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Brook Lopez's points line at PHX?
The books' line is 12.5 points, from 4 books. We project 8.9 and give the over 23%.
How often has Brook Lopez gone over 12.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 13.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Brook Lopez points?
Lean, under 12.5: our chance 56% against the books' 54%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is PHX a good matchup for Brook Lopez?
Favourable: PHX allow 119 points a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.