Cameron Johnson points prop 11.5 at MEM
Cameron Johnson, F for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.7 points, give or take 5.7; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 9.5.
- 26 minutes projected, starting
- may not play
Our lean
Lean under at 11.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 11.4
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 13.3
- Last 20: over in 15 of 20, average 13.7
- This season: over in 3 of 6, average 10.3
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: neutral, 110.8 points allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 11.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 9.5 in 2 games
- Away: over 50%, average 10.8 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 10.8 in 4 games
- Rested: over 60%, average 11.4 in 5 games
- vs MEM: over 75%, average 15.3 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 5 | under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MEM | 18 | over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs POR | 17 | over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SAS | 17 | over |
| 2026-04-01 | at UTA | 19 | over |
More Cameron Johnson props
- Cameron Johnson rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Cameron Johnson assists (our line 1.5)
- Cameron Johnson threes made (our line 1.5)
- Cameron Johnson pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Cameron Johnson pts + reb (our line 12.5)
- Cameron Johnson pts + ast (our line 11.5)
- Cameron Johnson reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Cameron Johnson steals (our line 0.5)
- Cameron Johnson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Cameron Johnson turnovers (our line 0.5)
Cameron Johnson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Cameron Johnson's points line at MEM?
The books' line is 11.5 points, from 5 books. We project 9.7 and give the over 35%.
How often has Cameron Johnson gone over 11.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 6 this season, averaging 13.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Cameron Johnson points?
Lean, under 11.5: our chance 53% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MEM a good matchup for Cameron Johnson?
Neutral: MEM allow 110.8 points a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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