CJ McCollum points prop 16.5 at MIL
CJ McCollum, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 16.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15.8 points, give or take 6.9; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 15.5.
- 25.4 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +5%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean under at 16.5: our chance of the under 56%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 16.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 13.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 13.4
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 15.6
- This season: over in 5 of 13, average 14.1
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 120.2 points allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 13.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 33%, average 11.5 in 6 games
- Away: over 43%, average 16.3 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 43%, average 16.3 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 10.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 33%, average 14.8 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 20.8 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 15 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 20 | over |
More CJ McCollum props
- CJ McCollum rebounds (our line 2.5)
- CJ McCollum assists (our line 3.5)
- CJ McCollum threes made (our line 1.5)
- CJ McCollum pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- CJ McCollum pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- CJ McCollum pts + ast (our line 19.5)
- CJ McCollum reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- CJ McCollum steals (our line 0.5)
- CJ McCollum blocks (our line 0.5)
- CJ McCollum turnovers (our line 1.5)
CJ McCollum player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is CJ McCollum's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 16.5 points, from 3 books. We project 15.8 and give the over 42%.
How often has CJ McCollum gone over 16.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 13 this season, averaging 13.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on CJ McCollum points?
Lean, under 16.5: our chance 56% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for CJ McCollum?
Favourable: MIL allow 120.2 points a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.