Collin Sexton points prop 14.5 at PHX
Collin Sexton, G for LAL, next plays at PHX on Sun, Nov 15, 4:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 14.3 points, give or take 6.5; our chance of the over 44%; our own line 13.5.
- 21.6 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Luka Dončić's status
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- priced at 21.6 minutes (season 18.2, tonight 24.9)
- usage up: Austin Reaves out (shots +4%, assists +5%)
- PHX scorekeeper: assists -3%
- lineup not confirmed
- may not play
Our lean
No lean at 14.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 54%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 11
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 10.5
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 13.6
- This season: over in 3 of 12, average 10.3
Defence vs position
PHX vs all players: favourable, 116.1 points allowed a game, 10 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 29%, average 10.7 in 7 games
- Home: over 0%, average 6.8 in 5 games
- Away: over 43%, average 12.7 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 43%, average 12.7 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 15 in 3 games
- Rested: over 11%, average 8.7 in 9 games
- vs PHX: over 100%, average 24 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | at MIL | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 9 | under |
More Collin Sexton props
- Collin Sexton rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Collin Sexton assists (our line 2.5)
- Collin Sexton threes made (our line 1.5)
- Collin Sexton pts + reb + ast (our line 19.5)
- Collin Sexton pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Collin Sexton pts + ast (our line 16.5)
- Collin Sexton reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Collin Sexton steals (our line 0.5)
- Collin Sexton blocks (our line 0.5)
- Collin Sexton turnovers (our line 1.5)
Collin Sexton player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Collin Sexton's points line at PHX?
The books' line is 14.5 points, from 4 books. We project 14.3 and give the over 44%.
How often has Collin Sexton gone over 14.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 12 this season, averaging 10.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Collin Sexton points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is PHX a good matchup for Collin Sexton?
Favourable: PHX allow 116.1 points a game to all players, 10 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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