Davion Mitchell points prop 14.5 at UTA
Davion Mitchell, G for MIA, next plays at UTA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.7 points, give or take 5.8; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 12.5.
- 34.8 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Giannis Antetokounmpo's status
- team scoring +2% per possession
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +5%
Our lean
No lean at 14.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 16
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 16.2
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 13.3
- This season: over in 7 of 10, average 16.2
Defence vs position
UTA vs all players: favourable, 117.9 points allowed a game, 7 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 16.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 75%, average 16.3 in 4 games
- Away: over 67%, average 16.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 16.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 22 in 2 games
- Rested: over 71%, average 15.3 in 7 games
- vs UTA: over 0%, average 12 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at SAC | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at GSW | 22 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at LAC | 11 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at LAL | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs IND | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at ATL | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DAL | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CHA | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DET | 18 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs MIN | 11 | under |
More Davion Mitchell props
- Davion Mitchell rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Davion Mitchell assists (our line 8.5)
- Davion Mitchell threes made (our line 1.5)
- Davion Mitchell pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Davion Mitchell pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Davion Mitchell pts + ast (our line 20.5)
- Davion Mitchell reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Davion Mitchell steals (our line 0.5)
- Davion Mitchell blocks (our line 0.5)
- Davion Mitchell turnovers (our line 1.5)
Davion Mitchell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Davion Mitchell's points line at UTA?
The books' line is 14.5 points, from 4 books. We project 12.7 and give the over 35%.
How often has Davion Mitchell gone over 14.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 10 this season, averaging 16.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Davion Mitchell points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is UTA a good matchup for Davion Mitchell?
Favourable: UTA allow 117.9 points a game to all players, 7 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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