Derrick Jones Jr. points prop 10.5 at PHX
Derrick Jones Jr., F for LAC, next plays at PHX on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 10.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.9 points, give or take 5.2; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 9.5.
- 26.8 minutes projected, starting
- PHX scorekeeper: assists -3%
Our lean
Lean under at 10.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 10.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 10.8
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 9.9
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 8.7
- This season: over in 4 of 8, average 11.1
Defence vs position
PHX vs all players: favourable, 119 points allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 9.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 50%, average 10.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 50%, average 11.5 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 11.5 in 4 games
- Rested: over 57%, average 11.6 in 7 games
- vs PHX: over 33%, average 11.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs NOP | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIA | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at GSW | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at MIN | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs LAL | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at OKC | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at LAL | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs SAC | 8 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs GSW | 0 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | at POR | 10 | under |
More Derrick Jones Jr. props
- Derrick Jones Jr. rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. assists (our line 1.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. threes made (our line 0.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. steals (our line 0.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. blocks (our line 0.5)
- Derrick Jones Jr. turnovers (our line 0.5)
Derrick Jones Jr. player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Derrick Jones Jr.'s points line at PHX?
The books' line is 10.5 points, from 5 books. We project 9.9 and give the over 42%.
How often has Derrick Jones Jr. gone over 10.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 8 this season, averaging 9.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Derrick Jones Jr. points?
Lean, under 10.5: our chance 53% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is PHX a good matchup for Derrick Jones Jr.?
Favourable: PHX allow 119 points a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.