Domantas Sabonis points prop 13.5 vs ORL
Domantas Sabonis, F for SAC, next plays vs ORL on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 13.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 16.8 points, give or take 6.2; our chance of the over 69%; our own line 16.5.
- 34 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Keegan Murray's status
- lineup not confirmed
- may not play
Our lean
Lean over at 13.5: our chance of the over 54%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 13.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 12.4
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 16.2
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 15.7
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 15.3
Defence vs position
ORL vs all players: favourable, 116.2 points allowed a game, 9 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 14 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 18.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 40%, average 12.6 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 18.8 in 4 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 15.5 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | vs SAS | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs LAL | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at DAL | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at MEM | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | at NOP | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at SAS | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs MEM | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs POR | 27 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAC | 14 | over |
| 2026-02-04 | vs MEM | 24 | over |
More Domantas Sabonis props
- Domantas Sabonis rebounds (our line 12.5)
- Domantas Sabonis assists (our line 4.5)
- Domantas Sabonis threes made (our line 0.5)
- Domantas Sabonis pts + reb + ast (our line 34.5)
- Domantas Sabonis pts + reb (our line 29.5)
- Domantas Sabonis pts + ast (our line 21.5)
- Domantas Sabonis reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Domantas Sabonis steals (our line 0.5)
- Domantas Sabonis blocks (our line 0.5)
- Domantas Sabonis turnovers (our line 2.5)
Domantas Sabonis player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Domantas Sabonis's points line vs ORL?
The books' line is 13.5 points, from 5 books. We project 16.8 and give the over 69%.
How often has Domantas Sabonis gone over 13.5 points?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 16.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Domantas Sabonis points?
Lean, over 13.5: our chance 54% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ORL a good matchup for Domantas Sabonis?
Favourable: ORL allow 116.2 points a game to all players, 9 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.