Donovan Mitchell points prop 23.5 at NYK
Donovan Mitchell, G for CLE, next plays at NYK on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 23.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 25.2 points, give or take 8.4; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 24.5.
- 32.1 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring -2% per possession
Our lean
Lean under at 23.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 23.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 23
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 21.9
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 24.6
- This season: over in 4 of 11, average 22.8
Defence vs position
NYK vs all players: tough, 102.3 points allowed a game, 30 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 23 in 5 games
- Home: over 33%, average 24 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 21.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 21.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 29.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 25%, average 20 in 8 games
- vs NYK: over 67%, average 31.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at CHA | 11 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs NYK | 37 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs PHI | 23 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at OKC | 27 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs OKC | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at MIL | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | at ATL | 22 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs WAS | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MIN | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | vs BKN | 22 | under |
More Donovan Mitchell props
- Donovan Mitchell rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Donovan Mitchell assists (our line 5.5)
- Donovan Mitchell threes made (our line 2.5)
- Donovan Mitchell pts + reb + ast (our line 33.5)
- Donovan Mitchell pts + reb (our line 28.5)
- Donovan Mitchell pts + ast (our line 29.5)
- Donovan Mitchell reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Donovan Mitchell steals (our line 1.5)
- Donovan Mitchell blocks (our line 0.5)
- Donovan Mitchell turnovers (our line 2.5)
Donovan Mitchell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Donovan Mitchell's points line at NYK?
The books' line is 23.5 points, from 5 books. We project 25.2 and give the over 54%.
How often has Donovan Mitchell gone over 23.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 11 this season, averaging 21.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Donovan Mitchell points?
Lean, under 23.5: our chance 53% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is NYK a good matchup for Donovan Mitchell?
Tough: NYK allow 102.3 points a game to all players, 30 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.