Franz Wagner steals prop 1.5 at SAC
Franz Wagner, F for ORL, next plays at SAC on Tue, Nov 10, 10:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.1 steals, give or take 1.1; our chance of the over 31%; our own line 0.5.
- 35 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Desmond Bane's status
- waiting on Tristan da Silva's status
- usage up: Jalen Suggs, Paolo Banchero out (shots +4%, assists +8%)
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 60%, the books' 58%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 1.6
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 1.3
- Last 20: over in 4 of 20, average 0.8
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 1.3
Defence vs position
SAC vs all players: favourable, 9.1 steals allowed a game, 8 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 1.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 0%, average 0.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 60%, average 1.8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 1.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1 in 1 game
- Rested: over 43%, average 1.4 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | at GSW | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at PHX | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs WAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at TOR | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at TOR | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at NYK | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MIN | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs ATL | 1 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at BOS | 1 | under |
More Franz Wagner props
- Franz Wagner points (our line 23.5)
- Franz Wagner rebounds (our line 5.5)
- Franz Wagner assists (our line 5.5)
- Franz Wagner threes made (our line 1.5)
- Franz Wagner pts + reb + ast (our line 35.5)
- Franz Wagner pts + reb (our line 29.5)
- Franz Wagner pts + ast (our line 29.5)
- Franz Wagner reb + ast (our line 11.5)
- Franz Wagner blocks (our line 0.5)
- Franz Wagner turnovers (our line 2.5)
Franz Wagner player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Franz Wagner's steals line at SAC?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 1.1 and give the over 31%.
How often has Franz Wagner gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 1.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Franz Wagner steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 42% for the over.
Is SAC a good matchup for Franz Wagner?
Favourable: SAC allow 9.1 steals a game to all players, 8 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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