Georges Niang points prop 7.5 at HOU
Georges Niang, F for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 8.0 points, give or take 4.8; our chance of the over 49%; our own line 7.5.
- 20 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 20.0 minutes (season 18.6, tonight 21.4)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 7.5: our chance of the over 47%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 9.8
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 8.4
- Last 20: over in 6 of 11, average 8.3
- This season: over in 6 of 11, average 8.3
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 106.4 points allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 80%, average 9.8 in 5 games
- Home: over 71%, average 9.1 in 7 games
- Away: over 25%, average 6.8 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 6.8 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 8.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 8.4 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | vs MIA | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs PHX | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIN | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 4 | under |
More Georges Niang props
- Georges Niang rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Georges Niang assists (our line 1.5)
- Georges Niang threes made (our line 1.5)
- Georges Niang pts + reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Georges Niang pts + reb (our line 10.5)
- Georges Niang pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- Georges Niang reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Georges Niang steals (our line 0.5)
- Georges Niang blocks (our line 0.5)
- Georges Niang turnovers (our line 0.5)
Georges Niang player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Georges Niang's points line at HOU?
The books' line is 7.5 points, from 5 books. We project 8.0 and give the over 49%.
How often has Georges Niang gone over 7.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 11 this season, averaging 8.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Georges Niang points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is HOU a good matchup for Georges Niang?
Tough: HOU allow 106.4 points a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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