Herbert Jones points prop 8.5 vs BKN
Herbert Jones, F for NOP, next plays vs BKN on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 7.2 points, give or take 4.8; our chance of the over 36%; our own line 6.5.
- 22.6 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Trey Murphy III's status
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 8.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 5
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 6.1
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 7.1
- This season: over in 4 of 11, average 6
Defence vs position
BKN vs all players: favourable, 115.7 points allowed a game, 10 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 5 in 5 games
- Home: over 33%, average 6.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 5.6 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 6.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 9.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 4.7 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at GSW | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at LAC | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs UTA | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at MEM | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs ATL | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs SAC | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs DEN | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at UTA | 3 | under |
More Herbert Jones props
- Herbert Jones rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Herbert Jones assists (our line 1.5)
- Herbert Jones threes made (our line 0.5)
- Herbert Jones pts + reb + ast (our line 11.5)
- Herbert Jones pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Herbert Jones pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- Herbert Jones reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Herbert Jones steals (our line 0.5)
- Herbert Jones blocks (our line 0.5)
- Herbert Jones turnovers (our line 0.5)
Herbert Jones player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Herbert Jones's points line vs BKN?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 5 books. We project 7.2 and give the over 36%.
How often has Herbert Jones gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 11 this season, averaging 6.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Herbert Jones points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is BKN a good matchup for Herbert Jones?
Favourable: BKN allow 115.7 points a game to all players, 10 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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