Isaiah Collier points prop 10.5 vs MIA
Isaiah Collier, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 10.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.4 points, give or take 5.2; our chance of the over 39%; our own line 8.5.
- 17.8 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 17.8 minutes (season 15.3, tonight 20.4)
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +11%, assists +2%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Strong lean under at 10.5: our chance of the under 56%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 10.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 5
- Last 10: over in 0 of 10, average 6.2
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 11.3
- This season: over in 0 of 10, average 6.2
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 121.1 points allowed a game, 5 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 4.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 0%, average 7.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 0%, average 4.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 0%, average 7.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 7 in 1 game
- Rested: over 0%, average 6 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 100%, average 14.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 7 | under |
More Isaiah Collier props
- Isaiah Collier rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Isaiah Collier assists (our line 4.5)
- Isaiah Collier threes made (our line 0.5)
- Isaiah Collier pts + reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Isaiah Collier pts + reb (our line 10.5)
- Isaiah Collier pts + ast (our line 14.5)
- Isaiah Collier reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Isaiah Collier steals (our line 0.5)
- Isaiah Collier blocks (our line 0.5)
- Isaiah Collier turnovers (our line 1.5)
Isaiah Collier player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Isaiah Collier's points line vs MIA?
The books' line is 10.5 points, from 4 books. We project 9.4 and give the over 39%.
How often has Isaiah Collier gone over 10.5 points?
Over in 0 of 10 of his last 10 games and 0 of 10 this season, averaging 6.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Isaiah Collier points?
Strong lean, under 10.5: our chance 56% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Isaiah Collier?
Favourable: MIA allow 121.1 points a game to all players, 5 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.