Jake LaRavia points prop 6.5 at MIL
Jake LaRavia, F for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 7.2 points, give or take 4.5; our chance of the over 50%; our own line 6.5.
- 23.7 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
Our lean
No lean at 6.5: our chance of the over 47%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 6.4
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 5.7
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 6.3
- This season: over in 6 of 11, average 6.1
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 121.2 points allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 6.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 80%, average 7.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 33%, average 5 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 5 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 4.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 57%, average 6.3 in 7 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 13 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 0 | under |
More Jake LaRavia props
- Jake LaRavia rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Jake LaRavia assists (our line 1.5)
- Jake LaRavia threes made (our line 0.5)
- Jake LaRavia pts + reb + ast (our line 11.5)
- Jake LaRavia pts + reb (our line 10.5)
- Jake LaRavia pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- Jake LaRavia reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Jake LaRavia steals (our line 1.5)
- Jake LaRavia blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jake LaRavia turnovers (our line 0.5)
Jake LaRavia player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jake LaRavia's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 6.5 points, from 5 books. We project 7.2 and give the over 50%.
How often has Jake LaRavia gone over 6.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 11 this season, averaging 5.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jake LaRavia points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Jake LaRavia?
Favourable: MIL allow 121.2 points a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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