Jakob Poeltl points prop 11.5 vs BOS
Jakob Poeltl, C for TOR, next plays vs BOS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 10.6 points, give or take 5.6; our chance of the over 40%; our own line 10.5.
- 23.6 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Immanuel Quickley's status
- waiting on Collin Murray-Boyles's status
- priced at 23.6 minutes (season 22.2, tonight 25.0)
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Kawhi Leonard, Scottie Barnes out (shots +10%, assists +3%)
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean under at 11.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 11.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 8.3
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 9.9
- This season: over in 3 of 8, average 8.5
Defence vs position
BOS vs all players: tough, 104 points allowed a game, 29 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 15 in 3 games
- Home: over 50%, average 8.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 25%, average 8.3 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 8.8 in 4 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 9.3 in 7 games
- vs BOS: over 50%, average 12 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs MEM | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MIL | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at DEN | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs ORL | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs ORL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at WAS | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHI | 3 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs BKN | 11 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | at NYK | 4 | under |
More Jakob Poeltl props
- Jakob Poeltl rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Jakob Poeltl assists (our line 1.5)
- Jakob Poeltl threes made (our line 0.5)
- Jakob Poeltl pts + reb + ast (our line 18.5)
- Jakob Poeltl pts + reb (our line 17.5)
- Jakob Poeltl pts + ast (our line 11.5)
- Jakob Poeltl reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Jakob Poeltl steals (our line 0.5)
- Jakob Poeltl blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jakob Poeltl turnovers (our line 1.5)
Jakob Poeltl player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jakob Poeltl's points line vs BOS?
The books' line is 11.5 points, from 5 books. We project 10.6 and give the over 40%.
How often has Jakob Poeltl gone over 11.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 8 this season, averaging 8.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jakob Poeltl points?
Lean, under 11.5: our chance 54% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is BOS a good matchup for Jakob Poeltl?
Tough: BOS allow 104 points a game to all players, 29 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.