Jalen Smith points prop 11.5 vs SAS
Jalen Smith, F for CHI, next plays vs SAS on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.9 points, give or take 5.6; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 9.5.
- 21.3 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Norman Powell's status
- waiting on Caleb Wilson's status
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 11.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 11
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 10.5
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 11.1
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 11.7
Defence vs position
SAS vs all players: tough, 106.7 points allowed a game, 25 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 11 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 16 in 3 games
- Away: over 50%, average 9.5 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 16 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 14 in 1 game
- Rested: over 57%, average 10.9 in 7 games
- vs SAS: over 0%, average 11 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at NYK | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at PHI | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at BOS | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs NYK | 17 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at BOS | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs WAS | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at MIL | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at TOR | 15 | over |
| 2026-03-25 | at PHI | 0 | under |
More Jalen Smith props
- Jalen Smith rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Jalen Smith assists (our line 1.5)
- Jalen Smith threes made (our line 1.5)
- Jalen Smith pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Jalen Smith pts + reb (our line 16.5)
- Jalen Smith pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Jalen Smith reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Jalen Smith steals (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Smith blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Smith turnovers (our line 0.5)
Jalen Smith player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jalen Smith's points line vs SAS?
The books' line is 11.5 points, from 5 books. We project 9.9 and give the over 35%.
How often has Jalen Smith gone over 11.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 10.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jalen Smith points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is SAS a good matchup for Jalen Smith?
Tough: SAS allow 106.7 points a game to all players, 25 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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