Jared McCain points prop 12.5 at POR
Jared McCain, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 12.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.4 points, give or take 6.3; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 11.5.
- 24.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 24.2 minutes (season 23.1, tonight 25.2)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 12.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 12.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 13.2
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 12.1
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 9.4
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 12.1
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 113.8 points allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 14 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 10.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 13.6 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 13.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 18.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 14%, average 9.1 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 18 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 20 | over |
More Jared McCain props
- Jared McCain rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Jared McCain assists (our line 1.5)
- Jared McCain threes made (our line 1.5)
- Jared McCain pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Jared McCain pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Jared McCain pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- Jared McCain reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Jared McCain steals (our line 0.5)
- Jared McCain blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jared McCain turnovers (our line 1.5)
Jared McCain player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jared McCain's points line at POR?
The books' line is 12.5 points, from 5 books. We project 12.4 and give the over 45%.
How often has Jared McCain gone over 12.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 12.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jared McCain points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Jared McCain?
Neutral: POR allow 113.8 points a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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