Jaylen Wells points prop 10.5 vs DEN
Jaylen Wells, F for MEM, next plays vs DEN on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 10.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.7 points, give or take 5.6; our chance of the over 55%; our own line 11.5.
- 26.3 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
Strong lean over at 10.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 10.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 8.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 11
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 11.9
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 11
Defence vs position
DEN vs all players: neutral, 112.8 points allowed a game, 17 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 9.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 7.8 in 5 games
- Away: over 80%, average 14.2 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 40%, average 7.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 14 in 1 game
- Rested: over 50%, average 10.5 in 8 games
- vs DEN: over 100%, average 14 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at TOR | 14 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs OKC | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs IND | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs NOP | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs SAC | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | at POR | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at UTA | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at SAC | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at GSW | 17 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs UTA | 12 | over |
More Jaylen Wells props
- Jaylen Wells rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Jaylen Wells assists (our line 1.5)
- Jaylen Wells threes made (our line 1.5)
- Jaylen Wells pts + reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Jaylen Wells pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Jaylen Wells pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Jaylen Wells reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Jaylen Wells steals (our line 0.5)
- Jaylen Wells blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jaylen Wells turnovers (our line 0.5)
Jaylen Wells player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jaylen Wells's points line vs DEN?
The books' line is 10.5 points, from 5 books. We project 11.7 and give the over 55%.
How often has Jaylen Wells gone over 10.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 11 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jaylen Wells points?
Strong lean, over 10.5: our chance 50% against the books' 46%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is DEN a good matchup for Jaylen Wells?
Neutral: DEN allow 112.8 points a game to all players, 17 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.