Josh Green points prop 7.5 vs MIA
Josh Green, G for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.9 points, give or take 4.1; our chance of the over 23%; our own line 4.5.
- 18.2 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 18.1 minutes (season 14.7, tonight 21.6)
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +11%, assists +4%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Strong lean under at 7.5: our chance of the under 61%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 4.6
- Last 10: over in 1 of 10, average 3.4
- Last 20: over in 1 of 20, average 3.0
- This season: over in 1 of 8, average 3.9
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 121.1 points allowed a game, 5 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 5.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 0%, average 2 in 4 games
- Away: over 25%, average 5.8 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 0%, average 2 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 6 in 1 game
- Rested: over 14%, average 3.6 in 7 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 1 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs MEM | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at NYK | 3 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs DET | 0 | under |
More Josh Green props
- Josh Green rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Josh Green assists (our line 0.5)
- Josh Green threes made (our line 0.5)
- Josh Green pts + reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Josh Green pts + reb (our line 6.5)
- Josh Green pts + ast (our line 5.5)
- Josh Green reb + ast (our line 2.5)
- Josh Green steals (our line 0.5)
- Josh Green blocks (our line 0.5)
- Josh Green turnovers (our line 0.5)
Josh Green player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Josh Green's points line vs MIA?
The books' line is 7.5 points, from 4 books. We project 4.9 and give the over 23%.
How often has Josh Green gone over 7.5 points?
Over in 1 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 8 this season, averaging 3.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Josh Green points?
Strong lean, under 7.5: our chance 61% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Josh Green?
Favourable: MIA allow 121.1 points a game to all players, 5 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.