Josh Hart points prop 8.5 at TOR
Josh Hart, G for NYK, next plays at TOR on Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 10.1 points, give or take 5.3; our chance of the over 58%; our own line 9.5.
- 28.2 minutes projected, starting
- TOR scorekeeper: assists -2%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 8.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 4.6
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 6.9
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 10.6
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 7.3
Defence vs position
TOR vs all players: neutral, 112.8 points allowed a game, 16 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 4.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 40%, average 9.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 25%, average 4.8 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 4.8 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 4 in 2 games
- Rested: over 33%, average 7.3 in 6 games
- vs TOR: over 80%, average 15.6 in 5 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at IND | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs CLE | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BKN | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHI | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at CHI | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs DET | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs ORL | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at BOS | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-20 | vs PHI | 14 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs TOR | 3 | under |
More Josh Hart props
- Josh Hart rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Josh Hart assists (our line 3.5)
- Josh Hart threes made (our line 1.5)
- Josh Hart pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Josh Hart pts + reb (our line 16.5)
- Josh Hart pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- Josh Hart reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Josh Hart steals (our line 0.5)
- Josh Hart blocks (our line 0.5)
- Josh Hart turnovers (our line 1.5)
Josh Hart player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Josh Hart's points line at TOR?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 5 books. We project 10.1 and give the over 58%.
How often has Josh Hart gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 6.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Josh Hart points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is TOR a good matchup for Josh Hart?
Neutral: TOR allow 112.8 points a game to all players, 16 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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