Keaton Wagler points prop 9.5 at PHX
Keaton Wagler, G for LAC, next plays at PHX on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.2 points, give or take 5.8; our chance of the over 58%; our own line 10.5.
- 19.8 minutes projected, off the bench
- PHX scorekeeper: assists -3%
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Strong lean over at 9.5: our chance of the over 54%, the books' 47%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 10.2
- Last 10: over in 7 of 9, average 12.3
- Last 20: over in 7 of 9, average 12.3
- This season: over in 7 of 9, average 12.3
Defence vs position
PHX vs all players: favourable, 119 points allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 9.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 80%, average 13.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 75%, average 10.8 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 75%, average 10.8 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 6 in 1 game
- Rested: over 86%, average 12.9 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs NOP | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIA | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs TOR | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | at GSW | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at MIN | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs LAL | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at OKC | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at LAL | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs SAC | 15 | over |
More Keaton Wagler props
- Keaton Wagler rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Keaton Wagler assists (our line 2.5)
- Keaton Wagler threes made (our line 1.5)
- Keaton Wagler pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Keaton Wagler pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Keaton Wagler pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- Keaton Wagler reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Keaton Wagler steals (our line 0.5)
- Keaton Wagler blocks (our line 0.5)
- Keaton Wagler turnovers (our line 1.5)
Keaton Wagler player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Keaton Wagler's points line at PHX?
The books' line is 9.5 points, from 5 books. We project 11.2 and give the over 58%.
How often has Keaton Wagler gone over 9.5 points?
Over in 7 of 9 of his last 10 games and 7 of 9 this season, averaging 12.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Keaton Wagler points?
Strong lean, over 9.5: our chance 54% against the books' 47%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is PHX a good matchup for Keaton Wagler?
Favourable: PHX allow 119 points a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.