Keldon Johnson points prop 9.5 at UTA
Keldon Johnson, F for SAS, next plays at UTA on Sun, Nov 15, 5:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.2 points, give or take 5.7; our chance of the over 64%; our own line 11.5.
- 22.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Strong lean over at 9.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 9
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 8.9
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 10.8
- This season: over in 6 of 13, average 8.8
Defence vs position
UTA vs all players: favourable, 118.6 points allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 57%, average 9.1 in 7 games
- Home: over 57%, average 10.1 in 7 games
- Away: over 33%, average 7.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 7.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 8.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 8.7 in 9 games
- vs UTA: over 50%, average 11.8 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs GSW | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | at CHI | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | at PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at POR | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at SAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs DAL | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs UTA | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs MIN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at UTA | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs SAC | 14 | over |
More Keldon Johnson props
- Keldon Johnson rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Keldon Johnson assists (our line 1.5)
- Keldon Johnson threes made (our line 0.5)
- Keldon Johnson pts + reb + ast (our line 18.5)
- Keldon Johnson pts + reb (our line 16.5)
- Keldon Johnson pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- Keldon Johnson reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Keldon Johnson steals (our line 0.5)
- Keldon Johnson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Keldon Johnson turnovers (our line 0.5)
Keldon Johnson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Keldon Johnson's points line at UTA?
The books' line is 9.5 points, from 4 books. We project 12.2 and give the over 64%.
How often has Keldon Johnson gone over 9.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 13 this season, averaging 8.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Keldon Johnson points?
Strong lean, over 9.5: our chance 53% against the books' 46%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is UTA a good matchup for Keldon Johnson?
Favourable: UTA allow 118.6 points a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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