Kevin Durant points prop 21.5 vs GSW
Kevin Durant, F for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 21.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 23.3 points, give or take 7.8; our chance of the over 57%; our own line 22.5.
- 33.9 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 21.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 21.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 18.2
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 20.1
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 23.2
- This season: over in 5 of 11, average 21
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 111.2 points allowed a game, 19 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 19.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 20.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 21.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 20.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 18 in 2 games
- Rested: over 38%, average 20.6 in 8 games
- vs GSW: over 100%, average 27 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 23 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 18 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at ATL | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 20 | under |
More Kevin Durant props
- Kevin Durant rebounds (our line 5.5)
- Kevin Durant assists (our line 4.5)
- Kevin Durant threes made (our line 1.5)
- Kevin Durant pts + reb + ast (our line 32.5)
- Kevin Durant pts + reb (our line 28.5)
- Kevin Durant pts + ast (our line 27.5)
- Kevin Durant reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Kevin Durant steals (our line 0.5)
- Kevin Durant blocks (our line 0.5)
- Kevin Durant turnovers (our line 2.5)
Kevin Durant player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Kevin Durant's points line vs GSW?
The books' line is 21.5 points, from 5 books. We project 23.3 and give the over 57%.
How often has Kevin Durant gone over 21.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 11 this season, averaging 20.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Kevin Durant points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 50% for the over.
Is GSW a good matchup for Kevin Durant?
Neutral: GSW allow 111.2 points a game to all players, 19 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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