Luguentz Dort points prop 7.5 at MIL
Luguentz Dort, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 8.6 points, give or take 5.2; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 7.5.
- 23.1 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 23.1 minutes (season 22.4, tonight 23.8)
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +2%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean over at 7.5: our chance of the over 55%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 9.6
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 9.8
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 8.8
- This season: over in 8 of 13, average 9.4
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 120.2 points allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 10.3 in 6 games
- Home: over 33%, average 8.8 in 6 games
- Away: over 86%, average 9.9 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 86%, average 9.9 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 5.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 78%, average 10.9 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 11 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 25 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 11 | over |
More Luguentz Dort props
- Luguentz Dort rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Luguentz Dort assists (our line 1.5)
- Luguentz Dort threes made (our line 1.5)
- Luguentz Dort pts + reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Luguentz Dort pts + reb (our line 10.5)
- Luguentz Dort pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Luguentz Dort reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Luguentz Dort steals (our line 0.5)
- Luguentz Dort blocks (our line 0.5)
- Luguentz Dort turnovers (our line 0.5)
Luguentz Dort player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Luguentz Dort's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 7.5 points, from 3 books. We project 8.6 and give the over 54%.
How often has Luguentz Dort gone over 7.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 8 of 13 this season, averaging 9.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Luguentz Dort points?
Lean, over 7.5: our chance 55% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Luguentz Dort?
Favourable: MIL allow 120.2 points a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.