Morez Johnson Jr. points prop 7.5 at BOS
Morez Johnson Jr., F for DAL, next plays at BOS on Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.2 points, give or take 3.9; our chance of the over 35%; our own line 5.5.
- 15.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- priced at 15.2 minutes (season 14.2, tonight 16.2)
- team scoring -7% per possession
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean under at 7.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 5.8
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 6.6
- Last 20: over in 5 of 12, average 6.7
- This season: over in 5 of 12, average 6.7
Defence vs position
BOS vs all players: tough, 103.1 points allowed a game, 30 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 7 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 8 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 5.3 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 5.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 6 in 1 game
- Rested: over 50%, average 6.8 in 10 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at CLE | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-12 | at MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BKN | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs UTA | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAS | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs SAC | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs HOU | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs OKC | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at MIA | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs SAS | 6 | under |
More Morez Johnson Jr. props
- Morez Johnson Jr. rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. assists (our line 0.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. threes made (our line 0.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. pts + reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. pts + ast (our line 6.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. steals (our line 0.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. blocks (our line 0.5)
- Morez Johnson Jr. turnovers (our line 0.5)
Morez Johnson Jr. player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Morez Johnson Jr.'s points line at BOS?
The books' line is 7.5 points, from 4 books. We project 6.2 and give the over 35%.
How often has Morez Johnson Jr. gone over 7.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 12 this season, averaging 6.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Morez Johnson Jr. points?
Lean, under 7.5: our chance 54% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is BOS a good matchup for Morez Johnson Jr.?
Tough: BOS allow 103.1 points a game to all players, 30 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.