Naji Marshall points prop 10.5 at BOS
Naji Marshall, F for DAL, next plays at BOS on Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 10.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.2 points, give or take 6.0; our chance of the over 57%; our own line 11.5.
- 24 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 24.0 minutes (season 22.6, tonight 25.4)
- team scoring -7% per possession
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 10.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 48%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 10.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 9.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 11.4
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 14.4
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 11.4
Defence vs position
BOS vs all players: tough, 103.1 points allowed a game, 30 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 43%, average 10.4 in 7 games
- Home: over 0%, average 7.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 15.6 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 15.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 8 in 2 games
- Rested: over 57%, average 11.7 in 7 games
- vs BOS: over 50%, average 11 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at CLE | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-12 | at MIN | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs IND | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BKN | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs UTA | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAS | 22 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs SAC | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs SAS | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at IND | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at HOU | 16 | over |
More Naji Marshall props
- Naji Marshall rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Naji Marshall assists (our line 2.5)
- Naji Marshall threes made (our line 0.5)
- Naji Marshall pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Naji Marshall pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Naji Marshall pts + ast (our line 14.5)
- Naji Marshall reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Naji Marshall steals (our line 0.5)
- Naji Marshall blocks (our line 0.5)
- Naji Marshall turnovers (our line 1.5)
Naji Marshall player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Naji Marshall's points line at BOS?
The books' line is 10.5 points, from 4 books. We project 12.2 and give the over 57%.
How often has Naji Marshall gone over 10.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 11.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Naji Marshall points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is BOS a good matchup for Naji Marshall?
Tough: BOS allow 103.1 points a game to all players, 30 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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