Nate Ament points prop 8.5 vs ATL
Nate Ament, F for MIL, next plays vs ATL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 7.6 points, give or take 4.8; our chance of the over 38%; our own line 6.5.
- 17.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 17.7 minutes (season 16.7, tonight 18.7)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean under at 8.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 51%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 8.2
- Last 20: over in 5 of 11, average 7.5
- This season: over in 5 of 11, average 7.5
Defence vs position
ATL vs all players: favourable, 116.8 points allowed a game, 8 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 57%, average 7.6 in 7 games
- Home: over 33%, average 8.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 60%, average 6.6 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 8.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 56%, average 8.9 in 9 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at ORL | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-10 | at NYK | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BOS | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs TOR | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at BOS | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at MIN | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CLE | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs HOU | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs IND | 7 | under |
More Nate Ament props
- Nate Ament rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Nate Ament assists (our line 0.5)
- Nate Ament threes made (our line 0.5)
- Nate Ament pts + reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- Nate Ament pts + reb (our line 10.5)
- Nate Ament pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Nate Ament reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Nate Ament steals (our line 0.5)
- Nate Ament blocks (our line 0.5)
- Nate Ament turnovers (our line 0.5)
Nate Ament player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nate Ament's points line vs ATL?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 3 books. We project 7.6 and give the over 38%.
How often has Nate Ament gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 11 this season, averaging 8.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nate Ament points?
Lean, under 8.5: our chance 53% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ATL a good matchup for Nate Ament?
Favourable: ATL allow 116.8 points a game to all players, 8 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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